Arsenal could be in for a massive shock at Bournemouth, writes tipster Jones Knows, who takes aim at the weekend’s Premier League card.
Arsenal’s last 12 games away from home against teams that finished in the bottom half have seen an average of just 1.9 total goals per game. And if you take the 2-2 against West Ham out of the equation, a team that went on to win a European trophy, that average drops to 1.7 goals per game.
The market has the goal expectancy just above three goals for this one which looks too high and makes under 2.5 goals an appealing prospect at 6/4 with Sky Bet.
Despite his slow start in England, I’d also point to Andoni Iraola’s record with Rayo Vallecano against the big three teams in Spain as a valid argument to throw into the mix. His football stifles elite attacks. That was on show for 45 minutes against Brighton last weekend, where the usually rampant Seagulls were puzzled. It made me sit up, take notice, and believe that the manager is starting to implement his ideas on his Bournemouth team despite them still being winless.
In 13 matches against Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid his Vallecano side never lost by more than one goal in notoriously low-scoring games that averaged just 2.2 goals per 90.